Lab
Labor Market
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 23
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Unemployment rate will undergo a permanent, long-term structural change due to artificial intelligence.
"But it seems that now it's a structural shift. So structural means it is a kind of like a permanent ..."
Dec 27, 2025
Pending
Job postings on Indeed will continue to slowly drop, with no major changes expected.
"job postings on Indeed, you know, that continues to to slowly drop. I don't really expect any major ..."
Oct 3, 2025
Pending
The year-over-year change in construction non-farm private payroll is predicted to turn negative within a few months (from October 2025).
"If you look at like the year-over-year change [in construction non-farm private payroll], it it's no..."
Oct 3, 2025
Pending
Initial claims for unemployment benefits will not be a major concern until they reach 300,000.
"I don't really think there's a major reason to get concerned about initial claims until they're prin..."
Oct 3, 2025
Pending
The labor market will remain relatively stable as long as initial claims stay below 300,000; exceeding 300,000 would trigger a negative feedback loop leading to more severe layoffs and an economic downturn.
"I would argue that as long as it stays below 300K, it's still relatively okay for the labor market. ..."
May 2, 2025
Pending
Initial claims predicted to rise in May 2025. (Confirmed by speaker in video).
"We said in May we'll likely see initial claims start to go up."
May 2, 2025
Pending
If initial claims rise in May and June 2025, the unemployment rate could also rise.
"if we see initial claims go higher in May and June like they have for the last couple of years, then..."
May 2, 2025
Pending
The number of states with rising unemployment rates is expected to increase later in 2025.
"So, I wouldn't be that surprised to see this go up as we get later on into the year."
May 2, 2025
Pending
Indeed job new listings predicted to drop below pre-pandemic levels (indexed to 100) relatively soon (from May 2025).
"I wouldn't be surprised to see it go back down there relatively soon."
May 2, 2025
Pending
Blue-collar and lower-paying service jobs will be more resilient or grow as technology (AI) replaces white-collar and middle-management roles.
"I think that the winner of all this is going to be the the the bluecollar um and the the lower you k..."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending
Technological unemployment is inevitable but will arrive later than current expectations suggest.
"technological unemployment, which is going to come, but not as soon as people expect it to."
Apr 18, 2025
Pending
The unemployment rate is predicted to rise over the next couple of years (from 2025), posing a greater challenge than inflation.
"I'm more concerned about the unemployment rate going up as as the next you know couple years go by r..."
Mar 14, 2025
Pending
Labor market issues are anticipated to emerge later in 2025.
"as you get out further and further into this year we might have some labor market issues"
Jan 24, 2025
Pending
The labor market will continue to loosen up (e.g., higher unemployment, lower hirers/quits) for 6 to 12 months from January 2025.
"the Market's obviously looking at the labor market and seeing that you know it's loosened up a lot a..."
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
Predicted a third and final wave of states with rising unemployment peaking at the end of 2024.
"I do wonder if you're going to get sort of a third and final wave in 2024 that maybe Peaks out at th..."
May 3, 2024
Pending
The labor market is transitioning from an employee's market to an employer's market, with the shift expected to be complete by 2026.
"we're sort of slowly transitioning from an employees Market to an employer Market but we're kind of ..."
Mar 8, 2024
Pending
The labor market is starting to weaken, suggesting a potential 'hard landing' for the economy.
"the labor market is starting to turn the wrong way... I mean I imagine the path to a hard Landing is..."
Mar 5, 2024
Pending
If the unemployment rate reaches 4%, it would prompt the FED to intervene.
"if it were to hit 4% [unemployment rate] that would that would probably raise a lot of eyebrows and ..."
Jan 15, 2024
Pending
The number of total temporary help services employees is likely to continue decreasing.
"there's a good chance this [total temporary help services employees] is just going to continue to dr..."
Jan 6, 2024
Pending
The ratio of job openings to unemployed workers (currently 1.4) is expected to decrease in the coming months, likely reaching the pre-pandemic high of around 1.25 within a few months.
"the job openings divided by the unemployment level... that is is is something that will likely come ..."
Jan 6, 2024
Pending
The growth in the employment level (measured by the 3-month SMA of quarter-over-quarter change) is likely to continue declining until monetary policy becomes looser.
"honestly it probably will continue to fall until we get back to looser monetary policy"
Jan 6, 2024
Pending
The ratio of job openings to unemployed workers (JOLTS ratio) is expected to decrease in the coming months, reaching approximately 1.25 (its pre-pandemic high) within a few months [by mid-2024].
"job openings divided by the unemployment level... will likely come down in the months ahead... we'll..."
Jan 6, 2024
Pending
The number of new entrants to the labor force will continue to increase as the economic cycle progresses, driven by people feeling compelled to find jobs.
"new entrance to the labor force which I think will be an ongoing story because I think there's been ..."
Jan 6, 2024
Pending